Why is it that some brands launch like meteors, captivating our imaginations and our wallets, only to fall spectacularly into marketing oblivion? And perhaps more importantly for marketers today: How can this fate be avoided? The answer lies in the difference between what is required to generate initial trial versus what is needed to build relevant equity that stimulates ongoing interest and repeat business.

Looking backwards from today’s vantage point, it might be easy to dismiss brands like Listerine Pocketpaks or TiVo, but at the pinnacle of their success they had a Jeremy-Lin-like, out-of-nowhere stardom that had consumers all atwitter, brought riches to their corporate owners and had competitors searching for answers. What is it about these brands that relegated them to eventual irrelevance, while other brands with meteoric success remain successful? And what does the future hold for today’s meteoric brands like UGG boots or Keurig coffee?

First, we need to dispel the myth that there is any long-term “first-mover” advantage in marketing brands. A popular notion holds that the early bird gets the proverbial worm. This may be true at the start, but ultimately it is the birds best able to adapt to changing conditions that thrive. That is to say survival of the fittest brands, not the first brands, drive the market. Neither Google nor Amazon, nor even Gillette, was the first brand in its respective category that it now leads. So while some of these “Boom Splat” brands were the first to popularize innovative benefits – such as digital video recording – this distinction alone is insufficient to defend against encroaching competition and a restless consumer.

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In 2001, Pfizer’s Listerine brand, then famously known for its anti-sceptic mouthwash, launched Listerine Pocketpaks breath strips. The product not only helped the brand extend into a new category, but also created awareness, relevance and reinvigorated the parent brand’s equity in fresh breath. Everyone needed to try the distinctive strip format and unique sensory experience. A true innovation blockbuster, brand awareness and trial were off the charts and Year 1 sales exceeded $175 million, quickly establishing it as the #1 brand in the category. However, by 2003, brand sales were already off by 40-50%, fueled by intense competition from copycat products and a consumer seeking more exciting offerings from strong brands like Altoids, Tic Tac and Ice Breakers. Today, under new ownership, Listerine Pocketpaks remains a viable business, generating about $45 million in annual sales – a shell of its initial success.

One contributing factor to the brand’s fall may be the polarizing product experience. However, even if some consumers were ultimately not wowed by the product and did not make a repeat purchase, the brand still managed to engage enough consumers to drive it to category leadership, so the answer may lie more with the brand than the product. Listerine Pocketpaks were so closely associated with a product form, rather than a brand equity, that it lacked the authority to sustain a category leadership position. The brand may have been more successful had it pinned its brand proposition on, say, Listerine freshness to-go,  intimate togetherness or anything other than the product form itself, which was quickly copied.

Listerine effectively did not leverage a strong point-of-difference compared to its new competitive set (i.e., mints), beyond a hot new product form. Once the form novelty wore off, the brand did not find a way to win versus other brands doing an equally-good job offering a minty-fresh experience. The breath mint consumer was then free to switch to a competing breath strip or align with a conventional format mint brand with strong appeal on both a functional and emotional level, such as Altoids.

Listerine is not the only “Boom-Splat” brand to soar behind the short-term functional difference of a unique product format. In other categories, Motorola’s ultra-thin Razr phone or Pert’s 2-in-1 shampoo both come to mind. In these cases too, there was no meaningful second act following the initial success of the brand launch. Loyal consumers seeking the next level of involvement were left with nowhere to go but to the competition offering newer, shinier objects for sale.

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So, which brands are doing these things well? Like or hate their style, UGG has successfully kept their brand fresh and strong for years. Many predicted UGG to be a fashion fad that had its time and would soon be gone. But a decade after gaining must-have status, the brand keeps marching on, achieving a record $1.3 billion in global sales last year. UGG is more than a fashion icon; the brand solves an unmet consumer need of stylish footwear that doesn’t involve painfully high heels. Worn by countless celebrities, the UGG brand was established as a genuine article, not to be copied by a competitive imitation. And now that it seems that every fashionable closet has a pair, the brand has pushed into slippers, gloves, hats and other accessories where stylish comfort plays a role. At this stage, there is no Boom Splat! forecasted for UGG.

One brand that will be interesting to watch in the coming year or so is Keurig, the single-serve coffee brand that has grown tremendously (their parent company Green Mountain Coffee Roasters has grown annual revenue to over $4.4 billion). The brand first helped usher in a new wave of premium, at-home coffee options with strong partners like Dunkin Donuts, Starbucks, Caribou and Newman’s Own (some of which have since gone their own way) succeeding in a crowded space where some first-movers have failed. However, they will need to stay fresh and relevant, continue to innovate, and think broadly about their business once the single-serve coffee market becomes saturated (by them, Nespresso or someone else) and consumers begin to wonder what’s next. This may be why their equity partnership with The Coca-Cola Company is so relevant and timely.

So what can we learn from all this? I see three important lessons:  First, having brilliant innovation ahead of competition is a great thing. But there is danger in letting the technical innovation be the news itself, because competitors will inevitably copy or leapfrog you. It’s always best to build equity that elevates the conversation to emotional benefits, values and beliefs, rather than maintaining a purely functional one. That’s much harder to copy. Second, ensure your product experience is outstanding, generating ongoing purchases from happy consumers. And finally, have a second act. Keep it fresh and give your loyal user base something to trade up to once they’ve committed to the brand; don’t leave them hanging wondering what the next level of involvement is. Doing these things may not ensure meteoric success, but it will avoid the dreaded sound of Boom Splat!

Photo credit: JD Hancock / Flickr